$
.
$
:
$
$
%
$
.
:
#
:
:
"
"
"
2014
--
1
$
/
$
"
"
.
"
.
" "
,
" " "
.
I–
*
Z_mlay
"
-
SapBW
.
.
*
I
.
–
"
#
.
II
.
–
.
III
.
–
" ,
"
.
II
-
*
"
.
*
,
.
–
:
"
;
$
%
,
"
%
.
, "
% "
:
1 .
SORT –
2 .
MAX
-
3.
If( ) > threshold
4 .
% !
5 .
"
-
:
"
%
"
,
"
"
%
,
.
Pre
diction=0.5*AR_Prediction+
0.5*Mean(3_Mounths)
:
$
.
,
$
.
% "
,
"
:
"
" "
"
"
" .
"
.
"
?
$
?
$
?
?
" %
?
